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By
Sherwin Long
The question of how T&T can maximise its use of natural
gas and add value to this treasured hydrocarbon resource has
been often asked.
Dr Vernon Paltoo, the National Energy Corporations team
leader for business development, attempted to answer these
questions last week.
During the first international Tobago Gas Technology Conference
held at Hilton Tobago last week, Paltoo listed a proposed
polyethylene estate and three urea ammonia nitrate plants
as Governments current petrochemical priorities.
For Paltoo, the balance between going further downstream into
petrochemicals and using most of our natural gas for liquefied
natural gas (LNG) production has to be scrutinised.
He used examples from current natural gas usage from both
methanol and liquefied natural gas producers.
The
Atlas and M5000 (methanol) plants use about 160 million cubic
feet per day. On the other hand Atlantic LNG Train IV uses
800 million cubic foot a day, Paltoo said.
It
is a lot more gas for an LNG plant as opposed to a methanol
plant which is why we have to be very careful in terms of
our LNG expansion.
He admitted that LNG brings in most of the countrys
revenue but T&T has to counterbalance earning revenue
and development of the countrys downstream industries.
Given concerns over T&Ts natural gas reserves, he
said the amount of natural gas needed for the projects was
being seriously monitored.
We
do all these projects with careful consideration of natural
gas reserves and we ensure all of these projects can be facilitated
within our current, existing reserves and targeted production
rates, he said.
According to a 2005 Ryder Scott audit, T&T currently has
18 trillion cubic feet of proven natural gas reserves.
However, Paltoo quoted 35 trillion cubic feet as the reserves.
But he was basing reserves on probable and possible gas reserves,
not proven reserves.
With T&T currently the number one exporter of both methanol
and ammonia world-wide, Paltoo was quick to note that the
country had the least natural gas reserves of the top ten
ammonia exporters.
T&T ranks higher than only Chile and Equatorial Guinea
in natural gas reserves among the top ten exporters of methanol,
he said.
Paltoo added that the worlds capacity for both methanol
and ammonia up to 2010 was rising but the demand was significantly
lower.
Expansion
in additional methanol and ammonia could adversely affect
our position as a key player by further saturating the market,
he said.
In place of methanol and ammonia, he positioned other petrochemical
derivatives as being economically viable for T&T.
In addition to polyethylene and urea and ammonia, he said
polypropylene, acetic acid and melamine were other petrochemicals
which will have optimum value for T&T.
Other downstream prospects under development include a methanol
to polypropylene complex, a maleic anhydride derivative complex
and an ethane-based polyethylene complex.
Paltoo noted that these industries would be housed at either
the Point Lisas Industrial Estate or at the Union Industrial
Estate.
Polyethylene demand is expected to increase by seven per cent
every year until 2010, Paltoo estimated, while polypropylene
demand is set to grow at a rate of eight per cent every year
until 2010.
He added that the manufacture of finished products derived
from polyethylene was labour intensive and could hire up to
500 or more workers.
If
we produce methanol alone then that one trench of natural
gas is being converted to methanol. But if we take that methanol
and develop more products then that same original trench of
gas has significant value added to it so we get more revenue,
he said.
Polyethylene can be used to create pipes, containers, appliance
parts and even bottle crates.
The plan is to have a conceptual T&T polyolefin complex
with two mega-methanol plants and an ethane cracker all supplying
polypropylene and polyethylene manufacturing facilities, Paltoo
said.
The ethane for the polyethylene facility will be from the
NGCs domestic supply and Atlantic LNG (trains I to IV)
which will provide a combined 52,000 barrels of ethane. This
could supply an ethane cracker with 800,000 tonnes per year,
he said though admitting this was an idealistic scenario view.
He said based on Governments strategic intention
they would consider whether to finance these projects alone
or as a joint venture with an established multi-national company.
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